Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 62.5 in June 2026, compared to 57.7 in May.
Sample. This monthly time series has 698 data points. The time period covered by the series extends from May 1968 to June 2026.
History. Have a look at some descriptive statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached its maximum of 84.0 in April 1981; it reached its lowest level of -20.3 in March 2009; it had a mean value of 35.1.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 48.1 |
| 2026-05-31 | 57.7 |
| 2026-06-30 | 62.5 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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