Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Third Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 0.0 in June 2026, the same as in May 2026.
Sample. This monthly time series has 698 records overall. The series covers the time span extending from May 1968 to June 2026.
History. Have a look at a few statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index registered a minimum of -39.6 in June 2022; it recorded its highest level of 28.0 in June 1983; it had a mean value of -0.9.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 0.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 0.0 |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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