Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Third Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at 43.2 in October 2026, compared to 48.6 in September 2026.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are a total of 702 records. The series covers the period stretching from May 1968 to October 2026.
History. Here are some summary statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 29.5; it recorded its highest level of 91.1 in March 1974; it hit a minimum of -35.5 in April 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 40.9000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 48.6000 |
| 2026-10-31 | 43.2000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did prices paid increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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