Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Unfilled orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for unfilled orders (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 7.1 in April 2026, compared to 14.7 in March 2026.
Sample. This monthly series has 298 records. The series covers the period stretching from July 2001 to April 2026.
History. Have a look at some summary statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index averaged 4.8; it recorded its maximum of 29.8 in January 2003; it recorded a minimum of -23.6 in September 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 18.2 |
| 2026-03-31 | 14.7 |
| 2026-04-30 | 7.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will unfilled orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.