Empire State Manufacturing Survey: General business activity: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for general business activity (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at 10.7 in October 2025, compared to -8.7 in September.
Sample. There are 292 records overall in the monthly time series presented in the graph above. The series covers the time period extending from July 2001 to October 2025.
History. Take a look at some descriptive statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index achieved a maximum of 39.0 in April 2004; it reached a minimum of -79.9 in April 2020; it had a mean of 6.3.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | 11.9 |
| 2025-09-30 | -8.7 |
| 2025-10-31 | 10.7 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did general business activity increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |