Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 41.3 in August 2025, compared to 42.2 in July.
Sample. The montly time series shown in the plot has 290 observations in total. The series covers the period stretching from July 2001 to August 2025.
History. Here's a glimpse of some descriptive statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index registered a minimum of -14.6 in March 2009; it peaked at 62.1 in January 2022; it had an average value of 22.2.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 41.3 |
| 2025-07-31 | 42.2 |
| 2025-08-31 | 41.3 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Montly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |