Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers collected by the Federal Reserve, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 70.9 in October 2026, versus 67.3 in September 2026.
Sample. There are 304 data points overall in the monthly time series displayed in the figure above. The series covers the time span going from July 2001 to October 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 42.3; it recorded its maximum of 76.7 in January 2022; it registered a minimum of -26.9 in September 2001.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 57.7000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 67.3000 |
| 2026-10-31 | 70.9000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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