Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 65.0 in October 2025, compared to 57.8 in September.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are 292 records in total. The series covers the time period going from July 2001 to October 2025.
History. Have a look at some descriptive statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 41.6; it recorded a maximum of 76.7 in January 2022; it recorded a bottom of -26.9 in September 2001.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | 64.2 |
| 2025-09-30 | 57.8 |
| 2025-10-31 | 65.0 |
Heads-up. Our metadata often include links to the original sources of the data we provide. You can use these links to find more details.
Not for investment purposes. Information shared on this web site is not meant for investment purposes or any other financial decision. Users should seek expert advice and do their own independent due diligence before making any financial commitments.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |