Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 64.2 in August 2025, compared to 58.7 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 290 records overall in the montly series shown in the figure above. The time period covered by the series is from July 2001 to August 2025.
History. Here's a peek at some simple statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 41.5; it hit a peak of 76.7 in January 2022; it registered a minimum of -26.9 in September 2001.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | 59.6 |
| 2025-07-31 | 58.7 |
| 2025-08-31 | 64.2 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Montly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |