Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on manufacturing firms' responses to the Empire State Survey carried out by the New York FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 51.6 in June 2026, compared to 43.6 in May 2026.
Sample. There are 300 observations in the monthly time series shown in the figure above. The time span covered by the series goes from July 2001 to June 2026.
History. Here's a peek at some descriptive statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 22.8; it hit a peak of 60.1 in July 2021; it hit a trough of -17.1 in March 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 38.6 |
| 2026-05-31 | 43.6 |
| 2026-06-30 | 51.6 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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