Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 48.0 in October 2026, compared to 42.3 in September 2026.
Sample. There are 304 records overall in the monthly time series presented in the figure above. The period covered by the series goes from July 2001 to October 2026.
History. Have a look at a few summary statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 23.1; it reached a minimum of -17.1 in March 2009; it peaked at 60.1 in July 2021.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 48.7000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 42.3000 |
| 2026-10-31 | 48.0000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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