Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on manufacturing firms' responses to the Empire State Survey carried out by the New York FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 1.0 in December 2025, versus -1.0 in November 2025.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are a total of 20 records. The period covered by the series extends from May 2024 to December 2025.
History. Here are a few simple statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached its minimum of -27.6 in May 2025; it reached its highest level of 9.1 in May 2024; it was equal on average to -3.0.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | -1.9 |
| 2025-11-30 | -1.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 1.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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