Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on manufacturing firms' responses to the Empire State Survey carried out by the New York FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -11.6 in October 2026, versus -8.9 in September.
Sample. There are 30 observations in the monthly series displayed in the chart above. The series covers the period stretching from May 2024 to October 2026.
History. Here's a snapshot of a few simple statistics computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index had an average value of -4.1; it hit a trough of -27.6 in May 2025; it hit a maximum of 9.1 in May 2024.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | -9.30000 |
| 2026-09-30 | -8.90000 |
| 2026-10-31 | -11.6000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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