Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -6.9 in June 2026, compared to -10.7 in May.
Sample. The monthly series shown in the chart has 26 observations. The series covers the time range stretching from May 2024 to June 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few simple statistics we calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index had an average value of -3.3; it hit a trough of -27.6 in May 2025; it recorded a maximum of 9.1 in May 2024.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | -8.1 |
| 2026-05-31 | -10.7 |
| 2026-06-30 | -6.9 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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