Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about NY-based manufacturers collected by the Federal Reserve, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 0.0 in January 2026, versus 1.0 in December 2025.
Sample. The monthly series presented in the figure has 21 observations in total. The time range covered by the series is from May 2024 to January 2026.
History. Have a look at some summary statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index hit a peak of 9.1 in May 2024; it registered a minimum of -27.6 in May 2025; it had a mean of -2.9.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | -1.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 1.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | 0.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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