Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 7.2 in August 2026, compared to -4.0 in July 2026.
Sample. There are 302 data points in the monthly time series presented in the figure above. The time range covered by the series stretches from July 2001 to August 2026.
History. Have a look at some summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean of -0.9; it reached a maximum of 18.7 in March 2022; it reached its lowest level of -20.5 in September 2001.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 7.9 |
| 2026-07-31 | -4.0 |
| 2026-08-31 | 7.2 |
Tip. A benefit of our web site is that we publish complete metadata. Check it below to learn more about the properties of the series that you use in your research.
Not for investment purposes. Data provided on this web site are not not supposed to be used for investment purposes or as a basis for financial-decision making. Users should seek expert advice and do their own independent due diligence before taking any financial risk.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.