Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Availability of supplies: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the State of New York, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for the availability of supplies (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at -1.8 in August 2025, compared to -2.8 in July 2025.
Sample. There are 16 data points in the montly time series shown in the graph above. The series covers the period extending from May 2024 to August 2025.
History. Here are some descriptive statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index averaged -3.6; it reached its lowest level of -27.6 in May 2025; it peaked at 9.1 in May 2024.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | -5.5 |
| 2025-07-31 | -2.8 |
| 2025-08-31 | -1.8 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the availability of supplies increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Montly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |