Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Shipments: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for shipments (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 36.3 in April 2026, compared to 28.8 in March 2026.
Sample. In the monthly time series plotted above, there are 263 data points overall. The series covers the span of time going from June 2004 to April 2026.
History. Take a look at a few descriptive statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index hit a maximum of 70.9 in July 2004; it reached its lowest level of -23.2 in March 2020; it had a mean value of 34.3.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 31.6 |
| 2026-03-31 | 28.8 |
| 2026-04-30 | 36.3 |
Hint. We organize indicators into worksheets and datasets to simplify research. If you look below, you will discover how we arranged further information linked to the statistics found here.
Not for investment purposes. Information available on FetchSeries is not not supposed to be used for investment purposes or other financial decisions. Users should consult professional advice and perform their own independent due diligence before taking any financial risk.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will shipments increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.