Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Growth rate of orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for the growth rate of orders (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at 24.2 in April 2026, compared to 18.7 in March.
Sample. There are 262 data points overall in the monthly time series shown in the graph above. The time period covered by the series goes from June 2004 to April 2026.
History. Have a look at some statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 24.6; it recorded a maximum of 53.7 in January 2017; it hit a minimum of -19.5 in March 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 20.8 |
| 2026-03-31 | 18.7 |
| 2026-04-30 | 24.2 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will the growth rate of orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.