Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at -2.2 in April 2026, compared to 3.8 in March.
Sample. There are 263 data points overall in the monthly time series displayed in the plot above. The time period covered by the series extends from June 2004 to April 2026.
History. Take a look at a few descriptive statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of -1.3; it reached its minimum of -26.0 in February 2009; it attained a maximum of 14.6 in May 2018.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 1.1 |
| 2026-03-31 | 3.8 |
| 2026-04-30 | -2.2 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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