Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 1.1 in February 2026, compared to 3.2 in January.
Sample. The monthly time series displayed in the plot has 261 data points in total. The time range covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to February 2026.
History. Check out some descriptive statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to -1.3; it reached its highest level of 14.6 in May 2018; it hit a minimum of -26.0 in February 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 5.2 |
| 2026-01-31 | 3.2 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.