Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyed by the Fed, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 51.7 in October 2026, compared to 51.3 in September 2026.
Sample. There are 269 data points overall in the monthly time series shown in the figure above. The span of time covered by the series goes from June 2004 to October 2026.
History. Here's a snapshot of a few statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 34.3; it reached its highest level of 68.0 in July 2008; it recorded a bottom of -26.8 in January 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 53.5000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 51.3000 |
| 2026-10-31 | 51.7000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.