Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers collected by the Federal Reserve in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 42.7 in February 2026, compared to 35.9 in January.
Sample. There are 261 data points in the monthly series displayed in the chart above. The series covers the period extending from June 2004 to February 2026.
History. Here's a snapshot of some descriptive statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 33.9; it recorded a minimum of -26.8 in January 2009; it attained a maximum of 68.0 in July 2008.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 36.1 |
| 2026-01-31 | 35.9 |
| 2026-02-28 | 42.7 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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