Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 40.7 in November 2025, compared to 46.1 in October 2025.
Sample. This monthly time series has 258 observations in total. The series covers the time period extending from June 2004 to November 2025.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded a maximum of 67.8 in July 2008; it reached a minimum of -26.6 in January 2009; it was equal on average to 33.8.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | 47.1 |
| 2025-10-31 | 46.1 |
| 2025-11-30 | 40.7 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.