Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers collected by the Federal Reserve in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 46.1 in October 2025, versus 47.1 in September 2025.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are a total of 257 data points. The time range covered by the series is from June 2004 to October 2025.
History. Have a look at some simple statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index registered a minimum of -26.6 in January 2009; it hit a peak of 67.8 in July 2008; it averaged 33.8.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | 47.8 |
| 2025-09-30 | 47.1 |
| 2025-10-31 | 46.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |