Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -3.1 in November 2025, compared to -1.5 in the previous month.
Sample. This monthly series has 257 data points. The series covers the period extending from June 2004 to November 2025.
History. Here's a peek at a few summary statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to -1.4; it recorded a minimum of -22.9 in February 2009; it reached its maximum of 13.9 in April 2018.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | -2.9 |
| 2025-10-31 | -1.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | -3.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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