Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Delivery times: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for delivery times (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 10.7 in August 2026, compared to -1.7 in July 2026.
Sample. There are 266 records in the monthly time series shown in the figure above. The series covers the time span extending from June 2004 to August 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at some summary statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index averaged -1.2; it recorded its highest level of 13.9 in April 2018; it registered a minimum of -22.9 in February 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 3.2 |
| 2026-07-31 | -1.7 |
| 2026-08-31 | 10.7 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will delivery times increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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