Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 37.7 in January 2026, compared to 31.9 in December 2025.
Sample. There are 259 data points in the monthly series shown in the plot above. The series covers the time span going from June 2004 to January 2026.
History. Here are some simple statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded a maximum of 59.2 in March 2022; it reached a minimum of -24.0 in February 2009; it was equal on average to 21.5.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 38.8 |
| 2025-12-31 | 31.9 |
| 2026-01-31 | 37.7 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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