Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 39.5 in February 2026, versus 37.7 in January.
Sample. This monthly time series has a total of 260 data points. The series covers the time span going from June 2004 to February 2026.
History. Take a look at some simple statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index hit a trough of -24.0 in February 2009; it reached a maximum of 59.2 in March 2022; it had a mean value of 21.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 31.9 |
| 2026-01-31 | 37.7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 39.5 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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