Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Production: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for production (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at 20.5 in November 2025, versus 5.2 in October 2025.
Sample. There are 258 records overall in the monthly series presented in the graph above. The time period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to November 2025.
History. Here's a snapshot of a few summary statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index reached its minimum of -55.5 in April 2020; it reached its highest level of 48.6 in March 2021; it had a mean value of 9.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | 5.2 |
| 2025-10-31 | 5.2 |
| 2025-11-30 | 20.5 |
Hint. Our metadata often contain references to the original sources of the data we provide. You can use these references to discover more details.
Not for investment purposes. Any data collected and published on FetchSeries are not not supposed to be used for investment purposes or any other financial decision. Users should obtain professional advice and perform their own independent due diligence before taking any financial risk.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did production increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.