Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Production: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for production (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) was 10.1 in July 2026, compared to 4.1 in June 2026.
Sample. There are 266 records in the monthly series displayed in the plot above. The time period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to July 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at some summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index achieved a maximum of 48.5 in March 2021; it recorded a minimum of -55.1 in April 2020; it had a mean value of 9.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 9.4 |
| 2026-06-30 | 4.1 |
| 2026-07-31 | 10.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did production increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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