Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 38.8 in November 2025, versus 37.3 in October 2025.
Sample. There are 258 records in the monthly series shown in the plot above. The series covers the time range stretching from June 2004 to November 2025.
History. Here's a glimpse of some simple statistics calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 21.4; it reached its maximum of 59.2 in March 2022; it reached its lowest level of -24.0 in February 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | 39.7 |
| 2025-10-31 | 37.3 |
| 2025-11-30 | 38.8 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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