Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 39.5 in February 2026, compared to 37.7 in January 2026.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are 261 data points overall. The period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to February 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached its lowest level of -24.0 in February 2009; it achieved a maximum of 59.2 in March 2022; it had a mean value of 21.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 31.9 |
| 2026-01-31 | 37.7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 39.5 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.