Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices received (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 37.3 in October 2025, compared to 39.7 in September.
Sample. In this monthly series, there are 257 observations overall. The series covers the time period stretching from June 2004 to October 2025.
History. Take a look at a few summary statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index averaged 21.4; it hit a trough of -24.0 in February 2009; it attained a maximum of 59.2 in March 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | 35.5 |
| 2025-09-30 | 39.7 |
| 2025-10-31 | 37.3 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices received increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |