Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 44.4 in February 2026, compared to 39.0 in January.
Sample. In this monthly time series, there are 260 records in total. The series covers the time period extending from June 2004 to February 2026.
History. Here's a snapshot of some simple statistics we computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 33.9; it hit a maximum of 67.4 in February 2011; it reached its lowest level of -24.2 in January 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 36.7 |
| 2026-01-31 | 39.0 |
| 2026-02-28 | 44.4 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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