Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 46.4 in May 2026, compared to 49.2 in April 2026.
Sample. This monthly time series has 263 observations. The series covers the time range going from June 2004 to May 2026.
History. Here are some descriptive statistics we computed on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 34.1; it achieved a maximum of 67.4 in February 2011; it hit a minimum of -24.2 in January 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 54.6 |
| 2026-04-30 | 49.2 |
| 2026-05-31 | 46.4 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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