Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 49.2 in April 2026, compared to 54.6 in March.
Sample. This monthly series has a total of 262 observations. The period covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to April 2026.
History. Check out a few summary statistics we computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 34.0; it hit a trough of -24.2 in January 2009; it recorded its maximum of 67.4 in February 2011.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 44.4 |
| 2026-03-31 | 54.6 |
| 2026-04-30 | 49.2 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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