Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to survey data about manufacturers based in Texas, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 47.1 in October 2025, compared to 48.5 in September 2025.
Sample. There are 256 data points in the monthly time series displayed in the figure above. The time range covered by the series stretches from June 2004 to October 2025.
History. Here's a peek at a few statistics we calculated on the entire sample: the diffusion index recorded its maximum of 67.4 in February 2011; it reached its lowest level of -24.2 in January 2009; it had a mean of 33.8.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | 44.0 |
| 2025-09-30 | 48.5 |
| 2025-10-31 | 47.1 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |