Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of manufacturing firms surveyd by the FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for prices paid (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 39.0 in January 2026, compared to 36.7 in December 2025.
Sample. The monthly series shown in the figure has 259 records. The series covers the span of time extending from June 2004 to January 2026.
History. Have a look at a few simple statistics calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index had an average value of 33.9; it reached its highest level of 67.4 in February 2011; it reached a minimum of -24.2 in January 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 41.8 |
| 2025-12-31 | 36.7 |
| 2026-01-31 | 39.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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