Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Production: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for production stood at -6.0 (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) in January 2026, compared to -15.0 in December 2025.
Sample. There are 295 records in the monthly time series shown in the chart above. The period covered by the series stretches from July 2001 to January 2026.
History. Take a look at a few descriptive statistics computed on the whole sample: the diffusion index reached a minimum of -53.0 in April 2020; it achieved a maximum of 49.0 in April 2021; it averaged 6.7.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 12.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | -15.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | -6.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did production increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Production |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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