Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Capital expenditures: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for capital expenditures was 13.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in February 2026, compared to 5.0 in January 2026.
Sample. There are 296 data points in the monthly time series presented in the graph above. The span of time covered by the series goes from July 2001 to February 2026.
History. Here are a few statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index hit a peak of 37.0 in April 2018; it recorded a minimum of -38.0 in March 2020; it had an average value of 12.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 9.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | 5.0 |
| 2026-02-28 | 13.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will capital expenditures increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Capital expenditures |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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