Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid was 62.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in January 2026, compared to 59.0 in December 2025.
Sample. The monthly series shown in the graph has 295 data points in total. The series covers the time span stretching from July 2001 to January 2026.
History. Here's a peek at some statistics we computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 43.9; it reached its maximum of 80.0 in June 2008; it reached its minimum of -13.0 in April 2009.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 61.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 59.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | 62.0 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: Prices paid |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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