Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: New orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for new orders was 19.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in January 2026, compared to 20.0 in December 2025.
Sample. This monthly time series has 295 records overall. The series covers the time range stretching from July 2001 to January 2026.
History. Here's a glimpse of a few descriptive statistics computed on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 22.8; it hit a minimum of -32.0 in March 2020; it recorded a maximum of 51.0 in October 2003.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 16.0 |
| 2025-12-31 | 20.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | 19.0 |
Nugget of wisdom. We categorize time series into worksheets and datasets to make your life easier. By moving down the page, you will discover how we arranged further information linked to the statistics published here.
Not for investment purposes. Content disseminated on this web site is not intended for investment purposes or other financial decisions. Users should consult expert advice and perform their own independent due diligence before making any financial commitments.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will new orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: New orders |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.