Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey: New orders: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Kansas City Fed - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about manufacturing firms in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for new orders stood at 30.0 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in October 2026, versus 31.0 in September 2026.
Sample. There are 304 data points overall in the monthly time series displayed in the graph above. The series covers the period extending from July 2001 to October 2026.
History. Here's a peek at a few summary statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index averaged 22.9; it peaked at 52.0 in October 2003; it reached a minimum of -36.0 in March 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 36.0000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 31.0000 |
| 2026-10-31 | 30.0000 |
Suggestion. Our metadata often include links to the original sources of the data series we publish. You can use these links to discover more details.
Not for investment purposes. Data and analyses found on this web site are not suitable for investment purposes or as a basis for financial-decision making. Users should ask for expert advice and perform their own independent due diligence before making any financial commitments.
Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will new orders increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Reproduction allowed subject to conditions |
| Other information | FS correspondence: New orders |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.