Business Leaders Survey: Supply availability: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Business Leaders Survey (NY FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on service firms' responses to the Business Leaders Survey carried out by the New York FED, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for supply availability (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was -9.9 in October 2026, compared to -14.6 in September 2026.
Sample. The monthly time series displayed in the chart has 30 data points. The time period covered by the series is from May 2024 to October 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few simple statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index recorded its highest level of 10.4 in November 2024; it reached its lowest level of -46.1 in May 2025; it had an average value of -9.6.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | -8.30000 |
| 2026-09-30 | -14.6000 |
| 2026-10-31 | -9.90000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Over the next six months do you expect supply availability to increase or decrease? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Free use subject to conditions |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
Discover the other time series included in this data set.
Current conditions SA
| Series Name | Observations | Start Date | End Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly | 266 | 2004-09-30 | 2026-10-31 |
Future conditions SA
| Series Name | Observations | Start Date | End Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly | 266 | 2004-09-30 | 2026-10-31 |