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Business Leaders Survey: Business activity: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly

Latest updates. According to survey data about service firms in the Second Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for business activity (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) was -20.7 in October 2026, compared to -8.7 in September.

Sample. There are 266 observations in the monthly series displayed in the figure above. The series covers the period going from September 2004 to October 2026.

History. Take a look at some descriptive statistics calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index averaged 1.6; it hit a maximum of 43.2 in June 2021; it reached its minimum of -76.5 in April 2020.

Latest values

Date Value - Percentage points
2026-08-31 0.500000
2026-09-30 -8.70000
2026-10-31 -20.7000

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Series Metadata

Field Value
Description Diffusion index for the question: In the past month did business activity at this company increase or decrease?
Country United States
Economic concept Business survey response
Data type Coincident indicator of the business cycle
Deflation method Not applicable
Seasonally adjusted No
Rescaling None
Frequency Monthly
Unit Percentage points
Source Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Source type Central bank
Data licence Free use subject to conditions
Measure type Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease)

Series in the same data set

Discover the other time series included in this data set.

Current conditions SA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31

Future conditions SA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Business Leaders Survey: Wages: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31

Current conditions NSA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Business Leaders Survey: Business activity: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Business climate: Current (better vs worse than usual for the time of year; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Employment: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Prices paid: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Prices received: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Capital spending: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 161 2013-06-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Supply availability: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 61 2021-10-31 2026-10-31

Future conditions NSA

Series Name Observations Start Date End Date
Business Leaders Survey: Business activity: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Business climate: Future (improve vs worsen; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Employment: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Prices received: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Capital spending: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 266 2004-09-30 2026-10-31
Business Leaders Survey: Supply availability: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - NY FED - Monthly 30 2024-05-31 2026-10-31