Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Selling prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on firms' responses to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey carried out by the Dallas FED, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for selling prices (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) stood at 34.3 in September 2026, compared to 27.6 in August 2026.
Sample. There are 237 data points overall in the monthly series presented in the graph above. The span of time covered by the series extends from January 2007 to September 2026.
History. Here are some simple statistics we calculated on the full sample: the diffusion index had a mean value of 24.5; it recorded a bottom of -14.8 in April 2020; it peaked at 49.5 in March 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 25.2000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 27.6000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 34.3000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will selling prices increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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