Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Input prices: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Dallas FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey (Dallas FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on a sample of service-sector firms surveyed by the Fed, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for input prices (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) was 61.3 in September 2026, compared to 49.3 in the previous month.
Sample. There are 237 observations in the monthly time series presented in the chart above. The series covers the time span stretching from January 2007 to September 2026.
History. Here’s a quick look at a few summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index had a mean of 44.3; it attained a maximum of 65.5 in June 2022; it hit a minimum of 2.5 in April 2020.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 47.1000 |
| 2026-08-31 | 49.3000 |
| 2026-09-30 | 61.3000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will input prices increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
Series in the same data set
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