Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey: New orders: Current (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally unadjusted) - United States - Philly FED - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (Philly FED)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. According to recent survey data about nonmanufacturing firms in the Third Federal Reserve District, the seasonally unadjusted diffusion index for new orders (share of CEOs seeing a recent increase minus share reporting a decrease) stood at -8.1 in September 2026, compared to -14.7 in the previous month.
Sample. This monthly time series has 187 data points overall. The span of time covered by the series is from March 2011 to September 2026.
History. Here are a few simple statistics we computed on the entire sample: the diffusion index reached its minimum of -55.1 in April 2020; it peaked at 59.3 in March 2012; it was equal on average to 11.4.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 12.8000 |
| 2026-08-31 | -14.7000 |
| 2026-09-30 | -8.10000 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Did new orders increase or decrease in the past month? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Coincident indicator of the business cycle |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Seasonally adjusted | No |
| Rescaling | None |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Source type | Central bank |
| Data licence | Not copyrightable under U.S. law |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
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