Average Fed Srv Survey: Prices paid: Future (increase vs decrease; diffusion index; percentage points; seasonally adjusted) - United States - FSR - Monthly
This series is part of the dataset: Average Fed Srv Survey (FetchSeries Research)
Download Full Dataset (.xlsx)Latest updates. Based on an average of regional Federal Reserve services surveys, the seasonally adjusted diffusion index for prices paid was 66.2 (share of CEOs seeing a future increase minus share forecasting a decrease) in September 2026, compared to 54.0 in August.
Sample. In the monthly time series shown in the plot, there are 153 data points overall. The span of time covered by the series extends from January 2014 to September 2026.
History. Here are some summary statistics we calculated on the whole sample: the diffusion index was equal on average to 46.5; it hit a trough of 2.7 in April 2020; it reached its highest level of 68.8 in June 2022.
Latest values
| Date | Value - Percentage points |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 58.6500 |
| 2026-08-31 | 54.0500 |
| 2026-09-30 | 66.1500 |
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Series Metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Description | Diffusion index for the question: Will prices paid increase or decrease over the next six months? |
| Country | United States |
| Economic concept | Business survey response |
| Data type | Leading indicator of the business cycle |
| Seasonally adjusted | Yes |
| Deflation method | Not applicable |
| Rescaling | None |
| Measure type | Diffusion index (share of respondents reporting an increase minus share reporting a decrease) |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Unit | Percentage points |
| Source | FetchSeries Research calculations on Federal Reserve data |
| Source type | Data research lab |
| Data licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) + FetchSeries disclaimers |
| Other information | Arithmetic average across 2 regional Federal Reserve services surveys |
| FSR temporal aggregation code | LM01 |
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